Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts

Avis buys car sharing firm Zipcar







The global car hire firm Avis Budget has agreed to buy Zipcar, the world’s biggest car-sharing firm, for $ 500m (£307m).






The car hire giant is buying into the fast-growing sharing market, which it says is worth $ 400m in the US.


Zipcar has 767,000 members, who pay an annual joining fee and then are charged by the hour to use its cars.


Avis is paying $ 12.25 per share for Zipcar, almost 50% more than the shares were trading at, at the end of 2012.


Zipcar, whose shares surged after the announcement, have three quarters of the US market.


Its most recent results showed that membership numbers had increased by almost a fifth at the end of 2012, and industry analysts suggest that rate of growth is set to continue.


When it floated on the Nasdaq exchange last year, Zipcar said it thought the US car sharing market would be worth $ 3.3bn by the end of the decade, up from $ 250m in 2009.


Similar growth rates are forecast for the European market, with analysts suggesting revenue of 2.6bn euros in 2016, up from 220m in 2009.


Continue reading the main story

Avis Budget Group’s acquisition should be seen as strategic; it is based on a prediction that people will increasingly want to buy ways to get around, referred to as mobility solutions, rather than buying cars.


On any given journey, more and more people will be choosing between shared cars or taxis, subways or trains, bicycles or old fashioned shoe leather, and smartphone technology is making it easy for them to mix and match.


Moreover, at a time when it appears to be more important to see and be seen in the world of social media, the car as a status symbol is losing its lustre.


The motor industry is doing all it can to adjust, though the big players’ responses often come across as sluggish, leaving gaps in the market for newcomers such as Zipcar to emerge.



“We see car sharing as highly complementary to traditional car rental, with rapid growth potential and representing a scalable opportunity for us as a combined company,” said Ronald Nelson, chairman and chief executive of the Avis Budget Group when he announced the Zipcar deal.


Car sharing has become popular in cities as individual cars are kept in residential streets, outside workplaces or student accommodation, and some people find using the service cheaper than owning their own car.


It cuts out servicing and maintenance costs and the cost of fuel is included in the hourly charge.


Avis Budget wants to accelerate the growth of Zipcar by putting more cars in more locations. It also plans to adopt some of Zipcar’s technology across the existing group.


Car sharing clubs give members a smartcard which they use to open the car, eliminating the need to go to an office to collect and return keys.


Some of the major car rental companies. including Hertz and Enterprise, have launched their own car sharing operations in the past few years.


Zipcar was founded in 2000 in Cambridge, Massachusetts, to take the European car-sharing idea to the US.


It has grown into the world’s biggest car-sharing firm, helped by recent mergers with US rival Flexcar and the purchase of UK company Streetcar and Spain’s Avancar, which it bought to expand its European operations.


Avis dropped from the second to the third largest car rental firm in the US in 2010, when Hertz took over Dollar Thrifty. Avis hopes to complete the purchase of Zipcar during early 2013.


BBC News – Business





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US may skirt ‘fiscal cliff’ but faces higher taxes






WASHINGTON (AP) — A last-ditch tax deal in the Senate might let the U.S. economy escape the worst of the so-called fiscal cliff and avoid going back into recession. But even if the House goes along, the tax increases likely coming in 2013 will dent economic growth anyway.


In the early hours of the new year, the Senate voted to end a long stalemate and raise taxes on upper-income households, extend long-term unemployment benefits and postpone decisions over government spending cuts, officials said. But any deal needs approval from the House.






About $ 536 billion in 2013 tax increases were scheduled to take effect Jan. 1, along with $ 109 billion in cuts from military and domestic-spending programs, if Democrats and Republicans could not reach agreement.


Mark Vitner, senior economist at Wells Fargo, said he expects budget policy, including the higher taxes in the Senate plan, to shave 0.8 percentage points off economic growth in 2013. The economy doesn’t have much growth to give. Vitner predicts it will grow just 1.5 percent in 2013, down from 2.2 percent in 2012.


The biggest hit to the economy is expected to come from the end of a two-year Social Security tax cut. The so-called payroll tax is scheduled to bounce back up to 6.2 percent from 4.2 percent in 2011 and 2012, amounting to a $ 1,000 tax increase for someone earning $ 50,000 a year.


“Even with this deal, fiscal policy will still be a net drag on economic growth,” Vitner said. “The expiration of the payroll tax holiday will reduce after-tax income for all workers and hit lower to middle income families the hardest.”


Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, calculates that the higher payroll tax will reduce economic growth by 0.6 percentage points in 2013. The other possible tax increases — including higher taxes on household incomes above $ 450,000 a year — will slice just 0.15 percentage points off annual growth, Zandi said.


Economy News Headlines – Yahoo! News





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UK must stay in Europe, says CBI







The CBI says the UK needs to keep its place within the European Union to push for freer trade for its businesses.






The business lobby group says the UK should use the EU to help rebalance the economy towards exports and create new trade deals.


It is pushing for a new free trade deal between Europe and the US.


The CBI says although the EU and US have relatively open economies, there are many examples of obstacles to trade.


These include tariff costs and mismatched regulations, which form what it says are significant burdens on firms on both sides of the Atlantic.


It is undertaking a major project to flesh out what the UK’s global role should look like in a new Europe.


It wants to explore ways in which the UK can remain a leading location to do business globally, particularly by expanding export markets for high-growth small and medium-sized firms, without losing access to the EU single market.


The CBI’s director-general, John Cridland, said it was crucial for the UK to keep its place within Europe; “The UK has ensured its values of free and open trade have been at the heart of Europe over the last 40 years, helping to create one of the biggest successes of the European Union – the single market.


“It’s essential we stay at the table to bang the drum for businesses and defend our national interest, particularly protecting our world-class financial services industry to maintain our competitiveness internationally.”


He added that President Barack Obama and the EU’s political leaders needed to work to eliminate barriers to trade, which he said one study showed could save as much as 122bn euros (£100bn, $ 161bn) a year in business costs.


BBC News – Business





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From IPads to Crocs, New Patent Law Protects Design






One of Apple’s key weapons in its legal battle against competitors is a special type of patent that protects the visual appearance of a product. Critics have denounced these patents as a way to own “rounded rectangles”, but we may have to get used to seeing a lot more of them. Last week President Obama signed a law that will increase the term and scope of so-called design patents. The law could offer U.S. designers a new way to fight knockoffs—but some fear it will strain an already overburdened Patent Office and make America’s troubled patent system even more dysfunctional.


Design patents, which protect the ornamental features of an invention, are nothing new. To get a better idea of what they are, imagine a new type of fork that can pick up food better than ever before. The inventor could get a regular patent for the pickup function—but she could also get a design patent for distinct scrollwork built into the handle of the fork. A more familiar example is the design patents that cover the look and feel of Apple’s iPad.






Few people had heard of design patents until recently, when shoe company Crocs (CROX) used them to chase away rivals or Apple (AAPL) used its design patents to hammer Samsung (005930) for allegedly copying the iPhone and iPad. Design patents have also become more popular as the Supreme Court has taken an increasingly dim view of many conventional utility patents. (See the picture at right, posted by leading patent blog Patently-O, for examples of design patents in court right now.)


The just-signed Patent Law Treaties Implantation Act of 2012 will see more design patent requests flood in from more places. The main purpose of the law is to harmonize America’s design patent laws with the rest of the world—in particular, by letting “inventors” use a single application filed anywhere in the world to seek design rights in many countries at once. For instance, Ikea could submit drawings of a chair in Sweden and get a U.S. design patent based on the same application. The law, which will take effect in about a year, will also increase the design patent term from 14 years to 15 years and allow applicants to seek 100 different design inventions with a single application.


Richard Stockton, a patent lawyer at Banner & Witcoff in Chicago, says that traditionally, the first people to call him about design patents are manufacturers who outsource production to China but then discover the factory owner is replicating their product.


Now, though, he expects the new treaty rules will lead more foreign companies to apply for design patents in the U.S.


“Asia is very interested. A lot of people think there will be a snowball effect,” says Stockton. He adds that recent court fights between Apple and Samsung have awakened people to the fact that design patents are easier to get than utility patents.


“I’ve obtained them in 60 days with some elbow grease,” claimed Stockton, adding that a “good rule of thumb” price for a basic design patent application is $ 2,500 to $ 3,000 all-in, vs. several times that for a regular patent. (The 60-day figure might be an outlier—others say it usually takes more than a year.)


Stockton says design patents also pack more of a damages punch than regular patents because, if they are infringed, a court must award damages based on the value of the whole invention, not just a patented feature.


Sarah Burstein, a design patent expert at the University of Oklahoma, is skeptical that the new law is necessary and fears that lawyers will game design patents in the same way they have gamed other parts of the patent system. “The devil is in the details,” she said in a phone interview, and she predicted that more applications will arrive from Japan, Asia, and the rest of the world. U.S. designers, meanwhile, can likewise seek rights in more places.


Burstein is especially concerned about how the new law, as it stands, requires the U.S. Patent Office to reject design applications from foreign countries within a certain period of time. If it doesn’t, under the treaty, the applicant is entitled to design rights in America. And if a flood of new applications arrive, will the Patent Office be able to handle them? The office is already struggling to clear backlog and retain qualified examiners with starting salaries that begin around $ 42,000.


Burstein worries that the law’s current structure could lead companies to seek design rights first in countries with weaker standards and then use those overseas rights as a quick way to get design patent protection in the U.S.


And while the new protections could help U.S. designers in theory, Burstein believes any benefits will not be widespread.


“This won’t help poor design students,” she said.


A bigger question may be why Congress passed the law in the first place. America’s technology and retail sectors are already buckling under a wave of spurious patent lawsuits, many of which involve “patent trolls” using old patents to extort licensing fees. The new law could provide yet more ammunition for the trolls to shake down productive companies. And while most people would agree that inventors should have the right to stop ripoffs, America already has robust trademark and trade dress rules that let them do just that.


Ultimately, design patents may be yet one more area where America discovers that intellectual property rules are a lot like salt—a little bit can be great, but too much ruins everything.


Also from GigaOM:
Social 2013: The Enterprise Strikes Back (subscription required)


GigaOM’s Top 10 Cleantech Posts of 2012


Newspapers and Guns: If Data Are Available, Should They Always Be Published?


Is Congress Really Capable of Legislating the Future?


Christmas Content: E-books Boom, IOS Uplift


Businessweek.com — Top News





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Reasons to Be Scared of Microsoft Stock






The early days of January are typically a time of unbridled optimism. This will be the year we lose 10 pounds and learn to speak French; Japan will turn itself around; Microsoft (MSFT) stock will pull itself out of a decade of doldrums.


Most analysts are betting that the Redmond computer company’s time has come. The company’s fiscal-year revenue has nearly tripled to $ 74 billion in the last 10 years. At $ 27, the shares trade right at their 10-year average and yield more than it costs the company to issue debt. Redmond has Skunk-Worked an exciting new tablet and operating system it’s eager to showcase. It’s all backed by ridiculous amounts of free cash and a fortress-like balance sheet. The 12-month price target on the stock forecasts a 25 percent gain.






Still, the company has attracted at least one major detractor with a big megaphone: Barry Ritholtz, an asset manager who runs a quantitative research firm and founder of the well-trafficked blog The Big Picture. He considers the company a “classic value trap,” not unlike what its customers Dell (DELL) and Hewlett Packard (HPQ) were at the start of this annus horribilis. The problem, he says, is Microsoft Chief Executive Officer Steve Ballmer. “As long as he is running the show—he has missed every major trend in tech over the past decade—I have no confidence in the company.”


He has company. Activist investor David Einhorn has wanted Ballmer out for more than a year and was long the shares in hopes that such an ouster would boost Microsoft’s returns. The stock is up 3 percent this year, compared with the S&P 500’s 14 percent gain. The 13 years since Ballmer became CEO have included the Vista debacle, a thankfully thwarted bid to overpay for Yahoo! (YHOO), the ceding of search supremacy to Google (GOOG), and Apple’s (AAPL) envisioning and dominating much of the smartphone and tablet markets. Meanwhile, where’s that “Skype Phone” in every palm?


‘Value trap’ is a funny term, says Bill Koefoed, Microsoft’s general manager of investor relations. Microsoft, he says, is trading in line with the big-cap technology sector, which has recently been out of favor with investors.


“Enterprise tech hasn’t been as sexy to the press. But our relevance to the enterprise has grown in a huge way. Our database business is growing faster than Oracle’s (ORCL) and IBM’s (IBM).”


Koefoed says people focus on Windows, which provides a quarter of Microsoft’s overall revenue, but not on the comparable 25 percent contribution from the company’s servers and tools division, which he emphasizes that Ballmer has grown, from a $ 3 billion business, to a $ 19 billion enterprise over the past decade. ”Over time, the stock price works itself out. We’re doing a whole bunch of things to be shareholder-friendly. Over time, that will be reflected in our share price.”


Meanwhile, Koefoed says, it was under Ballmer that the company initiated and consistently increased its dividend—with Microsoft shareholders overwhelmingly backing the CEO last month.


Ritholtz is unpersuaded “Think of the difference between what is revealed by a single snapshot of Microsoft today vs. an extended video. Yes, you can see the current situation of lots of cash, a low price-earnings multiple, name recognition, enterprise usage. But what about the trajectory and changes to the underlying market for their goods and services?”


He says that other than Kinnect for Xbox 360, “it’s hard to see what Microsoft gets for its billions of [research and development] dollars.”


“The competitive landscape has been moving against Microsoft,” wrote N. Landell-Mills of Indigo Equity Research after Microsoft’s “uninspiring” latest quarterly report, which involved the company raising its dividend 15 percent. The analyst called the organization “un-innovative and complex” and “a digital dinosaur.”


The full rollout of Windows 8 could, of course, change that state of affairs. Not that early signs are promising.


With the PC replacement cycle stretched out and assailed by competition that Microsoft failed to oppose, Ritholtz has taken to comparing its fate to that of Maytag (WHR). “It was,” he says, “once hugely successful and innovative and created lots of products and markets. Now you replace your dishwasher every 10 years; that’s the only time you ever think of Maytag.”


Businessweek.com — Top News





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Factbox: “Fiscal cliff” tax, budget provisions in detail






WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The “fiscal cliff” is only days away and efforts to avert it are making little progress, with some U.S. lawmakers predicting the tax increases and federal spending cuts involved will start taking hold in January, unless a deal comes together very quickly.


If these jolts to the economy are allowed to occur, a recession could follow, economists have forecast.






Consumer spending power suddenly would be reduced if the nation tumbles over the “cliff.” The U.S. government’s annual tax take would rise by $ 500 billion, significantly lowering the federal budget deficit, but at a high economic price.


On average, each U.S. household’s tax bill would rise by $ 3,500; for middle-income households, by almost $ 2,000, according to the Tax Policy Center, a non-partisan think tank.


Here are the key tax increases, spending cuts and other issues that have come to be known as the “fiscal cliff”:


TAX MEASURES


* Income tax rates. On December 31, low ordinary income tax rates enacted on a “temporary” basis in 2001 under former Republican President George W. Bush are set to expire.


President Barack Obama, his fellow Democrats and Republicans in Congress agreed at the end of 2010 to extend these rates for two years, but only a few days remain on that timetable.


If Congress and Obama do nothing by December 31, taxes will rise for most Americans. Rates will go up to 15, 28, 31, 36 and 39.6 percent from the present 10, 15, 25, 28, 33 and 35 percent.


Obama and the Democrats want to prevent this by extending the Bush tax rates again, but only for income below $ 200,000 per individual, or $ 250,000 per family. For income above that level, they seek a return to the higher, pre-Bush tax rates.


Republicans are divided. Some who oppose tax increases of any kind want the Bush tax rates to be extended at all income levels. Others, including House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner, have supported letting rates rise, but only on incomes above $ 1 million – a much higher level than Democrats support.


Obama proposed a compromise level of $ 400,000, but this was spurned by Republicans. Boehner spent several days last week trying to pass a measure in the House, which he leads, with the $ 1-million threshold. But he lacked the votes and gave up.


Afterward, Boehner said Obama and the Democratic-controlled Senate must work out a compromise. The Senate has returned from its holiday break. The Republican-controlled House has not but is expected to return late on Sunday.


* Investment income tax rates. Bush and Congress in 2003 cut taxes on capital gains and dividends, most of which go to high-income taxpayers. These cuts are set to expire at year-end too.


If no action is taken, the long-term capital gains tax rate will rise to 20 percent from 15 percent for the top four tax brackets. At the bottom, they will rise to 10 percent from zero.


Obama wants to let the capital gains rate rise to 20 percent from 15 percent for income above the $ 200,000/$ 250,000 level. Taxes on gains below that would still top out at 15 percent.


Without action from Congress, the dividend tax rate will rise to the ordinary income tax rates for each tax bracket. That would be as high as 39.6 percent for top earners, up from 15 percent now for dividends on qualified, long-term investments.


Obama wants to keep the 15 percent qualified dividend rate cap for most people, but let it rise on income above the $ 200,000/$ 250,000 threshold, to 36 percent or 39.6 percent.


* Personal exemption phase-out and itemized deduction limit. These caps on personal exemptions and itemized deductions will return in 2013 if Congress does not intervene. Both apply to upper-income taxpayers and would limit their ability to lower their tax bills. The caps were eliminated in stages by Bush. But the expiration of his tax cuts means the caps would come back.


* Obama healthcare tax. Regardless of what happens with the fiscal cliff, investment income above $ 200,000/$ 250,000 will be subject to a new 3.8 percent tax under Obama’s healthcare law.


* Alternative minimum tax. The AMT – which prevents upper income taxpayers from slashing their tax bills too much through tax breaks – expired at the end of 2011. That has not had an impact yet because 2012 tax returns have not been filed. The tax is not indexed for inflation. So it is routinely “patched” to prevent tens of millions of upper-middle-class taxpayers from having to start paying it. Both Republicans and Democrats support doing another patch, but have not approved one. The Internal Revenue Service has warned that as many as 100 million taxpayers could face refund delays without an AMT fix.


* Tax breaks. Dozens of individual and business tax breaks expired at the end of 2011, including the research and development credit. There is wide support for extending them again, but businesses will be watching for any faltering.


* Payroll tax. A cut in the payroll tax was extended earlier this year, in an effort to boost the economy. The current 4.2 percent rate paid by about 160 million workers, down from the previous 6.2 percent rate, expires on December 31. Some Democrats, including Obama, back extending the tax cut. The powerful AARP seniors’ lobby opposes renewing the cut, fearing the Social Security system that it helps fund will be undermined.


* Estate tax. The estate tax, which applies to assets passed onto heirs, currently stands at 35 percent, after an exemption level of $ 5 million. With no action, the tax will rise to 55 percent, after excluding the first $ 1 million of value. Obama wants to raise the tax to 45 percent, with a $ 3.5 million exemption, but some high-profile Democrats have come out in support of keeping the current tax and exemption levels. Many Republicans want a repeal of what they call the “death tax.”


BUDGET MEASURES


* Automatic spending cuts. In a deal last year to raise the U.S. debt ceiling, Obama and Congress agreed to $ 1.2 trillion in across-the-board spending cuts if lawmakers failed to reach a deficit-cutting deal by January 2. They failed. Now lawmakers fear the cuts, known as a “sequester,” could harm the economy. Obama has proposed delaying the cuts for a year.


* Unemployment benefits. Millions of people have been exhausting their government jobless benefits during the economic downturn. Congress has extended the benefits several times. Another deadline comes at year-end. Many Republicans want the extensions to stop, saying they discourage job-hunting. Obama has proposed extending the benefits.


* “Doc fix.” Because of an outdated formula in the law, government payments to doctors who treat patients on Medicare, the U.S. health program for the elderly and disabled, are routinely underestimated. If Congress doesn’t fix the situation by the end of the year, the doctors face a double-digit cut to their payments, which could lead them to drop Medicare patients.


DEBT CEILING


The Treasury Department on December 26 announced the first in a series of measures to delay by two months or so the day when the government will exceed its legal borrowing authority. Without action, Treasury said the $ 16.4 trillion debt ceiling would be reached on December 31. Obama wants it raised under a deal to avoid the cliff and he wants new power to raise it himself.


(Additional reporting by Richard Cowan, David Lawder, Tom Ferraro, Rachelle Younglai; Editing by Howard Goller and Cynthia Osterman)


Economy News Headlines – Yahoo! News





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Starbucks’s $40,000 Bid for Bipartisanship






Starbucks’s (SBUX) campaign for a fiscal-cliff deal, in which employees of D.C.-area shops are encouraged to write “Come Together” on customers’ cups, has drawn a lot of attention – and some mockery. The Daily Beast called it “doppio,” and the move was ridiculed as as a sign of desperation on Twitter.


It is no empty gesture. Starbucks expects to sell up to 200,000 cups of coffee in the D.C. metro area on Thursday and Friday. While the coffee giant does not offer ad space on its cups, Gregory Browne, a sales associate at PromoMedia Concepts (which produces about 40 million cups for third-party advertisers each year in the U.S.), estimates the company could get $ 0.20 per cup from advertisers. At that rate, the two-day cup campaign in D.C. is worth up to $ 40,000—enough to buy a full-page ad in most newspapers. (Starbucks also bought ads in the Washington Post and the New York Times for the campaign.)






Twenty cents per cup seems high? The average rate to advertise on cups at independent coffee shops is about half that, says Browne, but Starbucks could command more thanks to its vast distribution. The company sells 4 billion cups each year globally.


Not that you’ll see ads there any time soon. “The cup is not for sale,” says Starbucks spokesperson Jim Olson. “It’s a very cherished, personal connection we have with our customers, not a marketing billboard.” Still, it does put the company’s anxieties about the political climate at center stage.


Businessweek.com — Top News





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Egypt fears over currency lead to dollar rush






CAIRO (AP) — As Egypt prepared to release official results of the divisive constitutional referendum on Tuesday, the country edged deeper into economic crisis with some worried residents hoarding dollars for fear that the local currency could weaken significantly.


The anxiety over the economy was visible at currency exchanges in the upscale Cairo neighborhood of Zamalek, which ran out of dollars by midday and offered only euros — a rare occurrence. Some banks, too, said they had run out of cash dollars, forcing people to seek foreign currency from exchanges around the city.






“I asked around in many exchange places and can’t find dollars anywhere,” said Cairo resident Mahmoud Kamel after unsuccessfully visiting one exchange office in Zamalek. “I want to exchange money because I’m afraid the Egyptian pound will not have any value soon.”


Both political instability and economic fundamentals are playing a role in Egypt’s growing financial distress. A constitution drafted by Islamist allies of President Mohammed Morsi deeply polarized the country and sparked huge street demonstrations that at times exploded into deadly violence. According to unofficial results the constitution passed in a referendum over the past two weekends with a 64 percent “yes” vote.


The official result due out later Tuesday is expected to confirm the unofficial tallies.


The dash to sell Egyptian pounds for dollars prompted the Central Bank of Egypt to issue a statement on Monday calling on banks not to listen to rumors circulating about the fiscal health of the nation.


In a statement carried on official news websites, the bank declared its commitment to guarantee all deposits in local and foreign currencies to banks in Egypt and said banks are “financially strong enough” to ensure the fulfillment of any obligations toward clients.


Late Monday, the president issued a decree banning people from leaving Egypt with more than $ 10,000 or its equivalent in other currencies.


There was one particularly nerve-rattling report in recent days that longtime Central Bank Governor Farouk Okdah had resigned. The report came on Saturday during the second and final round of voting on the constitutional referendum.


Official media quickly retracted the news after reporting it. The governor then turned up at a meeting of the government’s economic team on Sunday in an apparent attempt to quell nervousness over the state of the economy.


Egypt’s currency had been stable trading around 6 pounds to the dollar for the first half of the year. It has since slipped, especially in the past two months as political instability worsened. The Central Bank of Egypt listed Tuesday that the dollar was selling at 6.18 to the Egyptian pound. To buy dollars at currency exchanges, the rate was 6.20.


Since Egypt’s uprising nearly two years ago, the country has lost more than half of its foreign currency reserves from $ 36 billion in 2010 to around $ 15 billion currently. The reserve level has been slightly propped up by some Qatari deposits in past months.


Underlining the cash shortage, unofficial estimates put Egypt’s reserves at just around $ 4 billion in hard currency, with the rest in gold and dollar treasury bills for the local market.


Major foreign currency earners, such as foreign direct investment and tourism, have dropped off because of political unrest and deterioration in security following Hosni Mubarak’s ouster in February 2011.


Egypt has requested a $ 4.8 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund to bridge the burgeoning budget deficit, but talks largely stalled this month after mass protests turned violent over disputes around the draft constitution.


Economic experts say that Egypt’s current foreign reserves barely cover three months of imports, which is the IMF’s minimum recommended coverage.


In another blow, Standard & Poors downgraded Egypt’s long-term credit rating by one notch to B-, six steps below investment grade.


One of biggest problems facing the market, according to those experts, is a lack of transparency on the part of President Mohammed Morsi’s government.


“The economy is a reflection of the political unrest,” said Khaled Abdel-Hamid, head of Treasury at Union National Bank of the UAE in Egypt. “We need transparency. The people have to know the real position of the economy in Egypt.”


He predicted in 2013, the pound will continue to devalue and inflation rates will rise, affecting the price of food and basic commodities.


“What matters is the end result. People want to live. If people can’t find food or security, what does it mean if there is a president or constitution?” banker Abdel-Hamid said.


The London-based consultancy Capital Economics has said, though, that the Egyptian pound “looks significantly overvalued” and estimated that it might need to fall by around 20 percent in order to restore competitiveness.


Core inflation, which excludes regulated items and fruit and vegetables, rose to 4.6 percent in October month from 3.8 percent on an annual basis in September. Subsidy cuts and tax increases linked to the IMF agreement could push inflation to 8 percent next year, Capital Economics estimated.


Egyptian Prime Minister Hesham Kandil said Tuesday that his government was focused on luring foreign investors back to Egypt, supporting the foreign reserves and plugging the budget deficit.


“A priority for the government to raise employment rates, reduce inflation levels and increase Egyptian exports’ competition abroad,” he said.


Leading civil society and rights groups have protested against the IMF deal, saying that the government has not released the terms of the agreement being worked out. Rumors swirling around impending tax hikes, subsidy cuts and other bread-and-butter issues have heightened the public’s concern. Around 40 percent of Egyptians live just at or below the poverty line of surviving on around $ 2 a day.


Promises by Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood group that the Islamist-drafted constitution would bring about the stability Egyptians crave were dismissed by economic experts who warned that without enough currency reserves, there is little to stop the pound from falling steeply in value.


“If anything, we were stable. We are still entering the period of instability,” said Haytham Abdel Fattah, head of the Treasury and International Markets Manager at Industrial Development Bank. “The instability of the foreign exchange rate is not at all detached from the political instability. It is a reflection and clear mirror to what is happening,” he added.


Tens of thousands of Egyptians protested ahead of the referendum on the charter to demand a new and more diverse assembly to draft the constitution. Instead, the Islamist-dominated assembly hurriedly passed it before a court could rule on the panel’s legitimacy. Morsi issued decrees, later rescinded, that gave him near-absolute powers to push the constitution to a nationwide vote.


Backers of the Brotherhood and others Islamist parties also rallied in support of the charter, leaving the country split and leading to violent clashes between the two camps on Dec. 5 that killed 10 outside the presidential palace in Cairo this month. The turmoil rocked Egypt’s stock market, delayed the IMF loan talks and hurt the country’s peak tourism season.


Economy News Headlines – Yahoo! News





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Retailers launch online bargains







The battle for the consumer has moved online with retailers bringing forward the start of sales after reports of lacklustre spending on the High Street.






Marks & Spencer and John Lewis are among major names to start discounting online in the hope that shoppers will be browsing sites over Christmas.


Sales online have traditionally begun on Christmas Day or Boxing Day.


Reports that millions of consumers will spend the holiday shopping online prompted a warning from Church leaders.


Former Archbishop of Canterbury Lord Carey said Christmas was a “special time” and should be spent with family and not logging-on. “We are now in danger of the gadgets taking over our lives and we are not in control of them,” he said.


And Steve Jenkins, a spokesman for the Church of England, urged people to make time to go to church and “maybe spend a bit of time online spending their new Christmas vouchers”.


But with the British Retail Consortium (BRC) warning that Christmas sales generally were likely to be “acceptable” rather than “exceptional”, retailers are looking for every opportunity to maximise sales.


M&S began its sales online at midday on Monday, while department store John Lewis said it would cut online prices when its stores close at 1700 GMT.


Debenhams has already started its online sale. Online giant Amazon will start its sale on Christmas morning, a day earlier than usual.


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We suspect that people will likely be more careful in buying – or reluctant to buy – items that they don’t really want or need in the sales”



End Quote Howard Archer IHS Global Insight


A report from Ofcom, the telecoms regulator, has estimated that shoppers spend an average £1,000 a year online each year. This is more than in any other country, including the US.


The popularity of online retailing contrasts with continued problems for the High Street.


‘Modest’


The BRC forecast that £5bn would be spent in the shops on Saturday and Sunday combined, the last weekend before Christmas. But Richard Dodd, the BRC’s head of Media and Campaigns, said that was nothing to get excited about, adding: “It’s been a very busy weekend which will be crucial to delivering a Christmas that is acceptable, rather than exceptional.”


He forecast a modest increase in cash spending on a year go, but not necessarily any significant increase because household finances are under pressure.


Economist analyst Howard Archer at IHS Global Insight said the weakening in household finances could not come at a worse time for retailers, and it highlighted why Christmas spending was so modest.


“The suspicion has to be that consumers will be especially keen to take advantage of genuine major bargains in the sales to acquire items that they cannot otherwise afford or are reluctant to make at the moment,” he said.


“However, we suspect that people will likely to be more careful in buying – or reluctant to buy – items that they don’t really want or need in the sales.”


Nevertheless, some shops reported brisk trading.


Sainsbury’s reported its busiest ever hour in terms of customers served from midday to 1pm on Sunday, while 35 branches opened at midnight and traded until 6pm on Monday.


More than a million visitors were expected in London’s West End during the three-day period from Saturday to Christmas Eve, during which more than £100m was expected to be spent.


‘Critical condition’


Bluewater shopping centre in Kent was also anticipating a surge in sales on Monday as Saturday’s footfall was up 14% from the previous week.


And the problems facing retailers was underlined on Monday in a report by business recovery group Begbies Traynor. It estimated that tough Christmas trading conditions had left nearly 140 firms in a “critical” condition.


Book retailers were among those in significant distress, hit by competition from players such as Amazon, while convenience stores have suffered from the rising dominance of supermarkets.


However, online retailers have seen sales figures improve, Begbies said.


BBC News – Business





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Italy’s Monti opens door to seeking new term






ROME (Reuters) – Two days after stepping down, Mario Monti announced on Sunday he would consider seeking a second term as Italian prime minister if approached by allies committed to backing his austere brand of reforms.


The former European commissioner, appointed to lead an unelected government of experts to save Italy from financial crisis a year ago, resigned on Friday but has faced growing calls to seek a second term at a parliamentary election on February 24-25.






At stake is the leadership of the world’s eighth largest economy, where recession and public debt of more than 2 trillion ($ 2.63 billion) have aggravated investor concerns about growth and stability in the euro zone.


“If a credible political force asked me to be candidate as prime minister for them, I would consider it,” said Monti, who has imposed repeated tax hikes and spending cuts to shore up Italy’s strained public finances.


He had kept his position a closely guarded secret for weeks, and in recent days had appeared to be have strong doubts about whether to continue in front-line politics. He made clear that if he ran, it would probably be at the head of a centrist grouping.


Monti held back from committing himself fully to the race, and said he was aware any decision to stay in politics carried “many risks and a high probability of failure”.


“I am not in any party. I am ready to give my appreciation and encouragement, to be leader and to take on any responsibility I may be given by parliament,” he said.


As a senator for life, Monti has no need to run for election to parliament but he said he would publish a detailed agenda of recommendations for a future government and would potentially be willing to lead a party that adopted it as its own.


Still serving as caretaker leader, Monti is widely respected for restoring Italy’s reputation after the scandal-plagued era of his predecessor Silvio Berlusconi.


The former economics professor is backed strongly by Italy’s business establishment and by EU allies including German Chancellor Angela Merkel. He has been urged to stay by centrist groups ranging from disaffected former Berlusconi allies to the small UDC party, which is close to the Catholic church.


But there is little sign of enthusiasm for a second term among voters weary of his austerity policies. A survey last week showed 61 percent did not think he should stand. It said a potential centrist alliance under his leadership was likely to gain around 15 percent support.


BITTER ELECTION


Both Berlusconi’s center-right People of Freedom (PDL) party and the center-left Democratic Party (PD), which is leading in the opinion polls, have urged Monti not to stand in the election.


Berlusconi, who left office last year with fraud charges and a juvenile prostitution scandal hanging over him, has accused Monti’s “Germano-centric” government of worsening recession with austerity measures, including a deeply unpopular housing tax he has promised to scrap.


In an exchange which may give a taste of bitter campaigning to come, Berlusconi said his nightmare would be a government with Monti at its head and Gianfranco Fini, a former ally turned bitter foe who supports the premier, “coming out of the sewers”.


Fini’s lieutenant Fabio Granata responded by saying Berlusconi’s remark was “fitting for his court of thieves, mafiosi, corrupt politicians, slaves and prostitutes.”


Monti was also scathing about Berlusconi, whom he replaced as Italy teetered on the brink of disaster in November 2011.


He said he had been “bewildered” by the 76-year-old media tycoon’s frequent changes of position. And, in an interview with La Repubblica daily, he expressed incredulity that Italians might re-elect Berlusconi “after seeing the damage he did to the Italian economy and the credibility of the country”.


PD leader Pier Luigi Bersani, whose party has backed Monti in parliament and pledges to maintain the broad course he has set, was more cautious, saying he would look at Monti’s reform proposals closely but that it would be up to voters to decide.


Monti said he hoped the next government would have a strong majority to pursue a programme that would extend the reforms his government had begun, in areas ranging from the labor market to justice and cutting the bloated cost of the political system.


He said the next government must not make easy election promises or backtrack on reforms: “We have to avoid illusory and extremely dangerous steps backwards.”


During his 13 months in office, Monti hiked taxes severely and chopped backed spending while pushing through reforms of the pension system, labor market and parts of the service sector.


However, many analysts said his efforts were too timid to significantly improve the outlook of a chronically sluggish economy, and Monti himself said that Italy was “only at the beginning of the structural reforms” required.


Italy, the euro zone’s third-largest economy, has been in recession since the middle of last year. Consumer spending is falling at its fastest rate since World War Two and unemployment has risen to a record high above 11 percent.


(Editing by Barry Moody and Mark Trevelyan)


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News Corp publishing loses $2.1bn







News Corporation says its publishing wing incurred a $ 2.1bn (£1.3bn) loss in the last financial year.






Revenues fell 5%, partly as a result of the closure of the News of the World, which it stopped publishing after the phone-hacking scandal broke in the UK.


The company detailed the losses as it formally applied to US regulators the Securities and Exchange Commission to split its business into two.


News Corp plans to separate publishing from its film and TV business.


The publishing arm, which News Corp said had made a profit of $ 678m the year before, will be called New News Corp. It will include book publisher Harper Collins, the Times and the Sun newspapers in the UK, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Post and the Australian.


The more lucrative TV and film business will be the parent company and will be called Fox Group.


It will include the US news channel Fox News and the 20th Century Fox film studio.


‘Adverse trends’


The loss made by the publishing arm included a $ 2.6bn impairment charge, after writedowns of $ 1.3bn for goodwill and $ 1.3bn for other intangible assets, primarily newspaper mastheads and distribution networks.


These impairment charges were largely the result of “adverse trends affecting several businesses”, including a weakening economic environment in Australia and lower predicted revenues from certain businesses.


The charges also reflected the expected sale of certain assets at a value below their carrying value, News Corp said.


The company first announced its plan to split in June, after pressure from shareholders who were concerned about the damage done to the publishing business by the events at the News of the World.


Robert Thomson, who is currently the managing editor of the Wall Street Journal and previously edited the Times, will be head of the new publishing company.


He will receive an annual salary of $ 2m, and a performance-based annual bonus with a target of $ 2m.


Rupert Murdoch will carry on as chairman and chief executive of the parent company, for which his compensation totalled $ 30m in the last year.


His pay will increase “modestly” as he takes on the role of executive chairman of the publishing company.


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The NRA’s Solution: A Gun in Every School






With characteristic flair, the National Rifle Association held America in suspense for a week on how it would react to the Newtown (Conn.) school massacre and then came out, guns blazing.


Wayne LaPierre, the NRA’s longtime top official, left no doubt during his nationally televised press conference that the pro-gun lobby—pound for pound, the most effective single-issue advocacy group in Washington—will fight fiercely against any new restrictions on the lawful acquisition of guns, magazines, or ammunition.






Whether the group wins or loses the coming debate, it wins (more on that in a moment). First, here are the basics of what LaPierre had to say:


• Setting up schools as “gun-free zones” has been an utter failure. Schools require more security, including a police officer in every school. The NRA will lead a national “school shield” initiative headed by Asa Hutchinson, a former head of the Drug Enforcement Administration, former U.S. congressman, and former federal prosecutor.


• The nation ought to establish a comprehensive database of mentally ill individuals. Those who have been deemed mentally ill, alcoholic, or addicted to drugs are already banned by federal law from acquiring guns. LaPierre called for more thorough record-keeping, a demand made by many of his opponents in the gun-control camp.


• The national media, whom LaPierre repeatedly castigated, bear responsibility for random mass shootings because they provide saturation coverage of events such as the Newtown massacre, and that encourages “copycats.”


• Hollywood and makers of violent video games, which LaPierre called the worst kind of “pornography,” likewise bear responsibility for mass shootings. The entertainment industry, he said, creates an atmosphere in which young people view violence as routine and without consequence.


• Gun owners, however, do not bear responsibility for mass shootings, and more gun regulations are not needed, he said. Instead, he condemned federal prosecutors for pursuing fewer gun-crime cases. There are already 20,000 gun regulations on the books, LaPierre said.


• He accused the media of fomenting “hatred” of gun owners and the NRA. He also alluded to the danger of civic unrest in the event of another disaster similar to Sandy, the devastating storm that recently hit the East Coast. That’s a subtle signal in support of survivalists and others who stock up on armaments out of fear that the government can’t protect them in chaos.


The NRA, as will become apparent in weeks and months to come, has a structural advantage in this conflict with gun-control forces. It does not compromise, because it does not fear losing. By framing the debate as one of gun owners against the rest of society (the media, Hollywood, “political elites”), LaPierre is paving the way for his next fund-raising solicitation. If some new gun-control law gets enacted, that becomes evidence that the vast anti-gun conspiracy only wants more, that President Barack Obama eventually will come for YOUR guns—all of them.


The lobby and the industry whose fortunes it promotes thrive on controversy, observes Richard Feldman, a former NRA organizer and gun trade association executive. “If the NRA wins, it wins,” he says. “If it loses, it wins, too, because then it can raise money on its defeat—and go back and try again.”


A relevant datum that LaPierre did not stress as part of his presentation was that, as the industrialized democracy with the greatest prevalence of gun ownership—300 million firearms in private hands; 47 percent of households possessing one or more guns—the U.S. has the highest gun homicide rate among economically advanced countries.


Businessweek.com — Top News





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U.S. state, local spending expands for first time in 3 years






WASHINGTON (Reuters) – State and local government spending grew at a 0.3 percent annual rate in the third quarter, after 11 straight quarters of contraction, the U.S. Commerce Department said on Thursday.


The last time state and local spending expanded was in the third quarter of 2009, at a much more robust rate of 2.2 percent. Then, for nearly three years, spending contracted sharply, with the biggest drop in the first quarter of 2010 at 5.5 percent.






States are pinching pennies, keeping spending growth slow as the economy recovers from the 2007-09 recession and the federal government sends them fewer funds.


“The recent improvement in the national economy has not translated to strong growth in total state expenditures,” said the National Association of State Budget Officers (NASBO) in a report also released on Thursday.


Total state spending likely grew only 0.1 percent in fiscal 2012, the lowest level since the group began tracking state spending in 1987, NASBO said. Most states’ fiscal years end in June, which means that many have already started fiscal 2013.


The 2007-09 recession caused states’ revenues to plunge and, because all states except Vermont must end their fiscal years with balanced budgets, many slashed spending, calling special legislative sessions to make emergency mid-year cuts.


The federal government stepped in to help with the 2009 economic stimulus plan known as the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA), which included the largest transfer of federal funds to states in U.S. history.


NASBO said state expenditures grew 3.8 percent in fiscal 2010 and 2.8 percent in fiscal 2011, mostly due to the assistance. By fiscal 2010 federal money made up nearly 35 percent of state spending, compared with 26.3 percent in fiscal 2008.


Now that the burst of stimulus money is over, states must once again shoulder the costs of public programs, even though their revenues are only beginning to return to pre-recession levels. Federal funds likely only represented 31.2 percent of state spending in fiscal 2012 and will continue to shrink, NASBO said.


State revenues have not increased as fast as ARRA funds have declined, leading to a unique situation in which total state expenditure growth has slowed during the same time that the national economy has been improving,” it reported.


Meanwhile, spending demands continue to grow, particularly for the Medicaid healthcare program for the poor that states operate with partial reimbursement from the federal government.


Over the last three years, the portion of state spending going to Medicaid has risen to 23.9 percent from 22.2 percent. Many states worry that Medicaid will eat up their budgets, and leave fewer dollars for other areas.


Spending on education dipped to 19.8 percent in fiscal 2012, the first time on record that the portion has been less than 20 percent, NASBO said.


(Reporting by Lisa Lambert; Editing by Nick Zieminski)


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GM to buy stake from Treasury; government may lose billions






(Reuters) – The U.S. Treasury plans to sell its stake in General Motors Co over the coming year, all but assuring a multibillion-dollar loss in a move that will end the automaker’s “Government Motors” era.


Treasury’s plan – a two-step process that includes a $ 5.5 billion stock sale to GM – is part of a broader push to wind down the controversial financial bailout under the Troubled Asset Relief (TARP) program. TARP was created by former president George W. Bush to prevent the collapse of the U.S. banking industry during the 2007-2009 financial crisis.






The planned GM sale will raise the proceeds that Treasury has recovered to $ 28.6 billion of the $ 50 billion bailout GM received. With $ 20.9 billion left from the original bailout, the government would have to sell its remaining shares at an average price of $ 69.72 to break even.


GM shares were up 7.1 percent at $ 27.31 on Wednesday afternoon on the New York Stock Exchange.


If Treasury, which will reduce its stake to about 19 percent when the buyback closes this month from about 26 percent at present, sold its remaining stock at the price GM is paying now, it would come up short by more than $ 12 billion.


“GM wins,” Jefferies analyst Peter Nesvold said, pointing to the elimination of the government stake that has been acting as a drag on the stock price and to eventual higher earnings per share. “From a government standpoint, it’s a mixed bag, but they went into it to save jobs, not as an investment.” He said the buyback was lower than the $ 30 a share he had expected at the very least and was occurring earlier than anticipated.


GM’s planned buyback of 200 million shares will give it more freedom from government oversight and likely result in a sales boost as some consumers unhappy over the U.S. taxpayer-funded bailout give the automaker a second look, GM Chief Financial Officer Dan Ammann said.


“This is very attractive to the company, to our shareholders,” he told reporters at GM’s Detroit headquarters. “It obviously brings some clarity and certainty around the U.S. Treasury exit.


“It’s obviously good for the business in terms of continuing to remove the perception of government involvement in the company, which is going to be good for sales,” he said, also noting that the reduced share count would boost earnings.


GM approached Treasury officials after the U.S. presidential election in November, but was rebuffed when it offered only to pay market value for the government’s stock, according to a senior Treasury official. Treasury rejected a second offer of a small premium before the sides finalized the deal on Tuesday afternoon, said the Treasury official, who asked not to be identified discussing the negotiations.


“We’ve always looked at this as balancing speed of exit with maximizing return, and GM basically made us what we felt was a very attractive offer,” the Treasury official said.


TARP TRIP NEARS END


TARP was approved by Congress as a $ 700 billion program, though Treasury eventually disbursed $ 418 billion. On Wednesday it said it had recovered $ 381 billion to date, or about 90 percent.


“TARP was always meant to be a temporary, emergency program. The government should not be in the business of owning stakes in private companies for an indefinite period of time,” Treasury Assistant Secretary Timothy Massad said in a statement.


“Moving to exit our investment in GM within the next 12 to 15 months is consistent with our dual goals of winding down TARP as soon as practicable and protecting taxpayer interests.”


Under the deal, GM will pay $ 27.50 a share for the Treasury-held shares, representing a 7.9 percent premium on Tuesday’s closing price.


Treasury said it will then sell its remaining stake of about 300.1 million shares “through various means in an orderly fashion,” and could begin the process, including sales on the open market, as soon as January.


The auto giant was dubbed “Government Motors” by many critics after it received its bailout package as part of the bankruptcy restructuring in 2009 under TARP.


Treasury’s plans echo other recent moves. On Tuesday, Treasury said it would largely sell its remaining shares in bailed-out banks over the coming 12 to 15 months. Last week it sold the last of its common stock in American International Group Inc at a profit.


This also would close Treasury’s involvement with the U.S. auto sector. In June 2011, the agency sold its remaining 6 percent stake in Chrysler to Italy’s Fiat SpA , which controls the U.S. automaker.


U.S. President Barack Obama heavily promoted his decision to use public funds to rescue the auto industry and save jobs as he campaigned for re-election in swing states like Michigan and Ohio. Voters in both states backed him again in the November 6 election, providing critical support in his victory.


Treasury officials reiterated on Wednesday that the auto bailout saved more than 1 million U.S. jobs and was not meant to turn a profit.


With Treasury’s planned exit from GM, auto lender Ally Financial Inc will be the last major TARP recipient that has not yet paid back the government. Of the $ 17 billion it owes, Ally has paid back $ 5.8 billion.


SHOWING CONFIDENCE


Separately on Wednesday, Canada Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said his country had no immediate plans to sell its stake in GM. Canada and the province of Ontario have a combined 9 percent stake.


Ammann said the move and resulting Treasury plans will remove a “significant overhang” on the stock that has hurt sales and bring an “element of closure” to the bailout. Company research suggests eliminating the Treasury stake would benefit sales, he said.


Ammann said the deal was good for shareholders, when asked whether GM might be sued for paying Treasury a higher price than where the stock was trading at the time of the announcement.


However, one large shareholder loved the deal, as a spokesman for hedge fund manager David Einhorn said: “We applaud GM management for unlocking shareholder value by releasing excess capital and beginning a resolution of the government stake overhang.”


Barclays analyst Brian Johnson said that once the government reduces its stake, GM likely will be eligible for inclusion in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index <.spx>, which could serve as a catalyst to drive up the company’s stock price.</.spx>


GM will end the year with estimated liquidity of about $ 38 billion, even after the deal, Ammann said. That will add to earnings per share by reducing the number of outstanding shares by about 11 percent.


Ammann said the deal will be funded through cash and not tap in to the $ 11 billion credit line GM secured last month.


Citi analyst Itay Michaeli said the deal showed GM’s confidence in its ability to generate cash despite worries about the U.S. economy and the recession in Europe. “The ability to spend this amount of money on a share buyback shows they are putting their money where their mouth is,” he said.


The deal also made a winner of Ammann, considered one of a handful of GM executives who could succeed Chief Executive Dan Akerson. Ammann, along with Akerson and GM general counsel Michael Millikin, negotiated the deal with Massad, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, chief investment officer Matt Pendo and government attorneys over several weeks, according to the senior Treasury official and another person familiar with the talks who asked not to be identified.


Ammann did not provide details of the talks with Treasury, when asked whether negotiations picked up following the presidential election. Analysts said Treasury likely did not want this deal to be turned into a political issue.


Treasury also may have wanted to wait for the unveiling of the critical full-size pickup trucks that will go on sale next year, analysts said. GM showed the new Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra on December 13.


GM will take a charge of about $ 400 million in the fourth quarter tied to the buyback.


In addition, Treasury relinquished certain governance rights, including required levels of U.S. manufacturing and barring the purchase of corporate jets, Ammann said. Senior executive payment caps under TARP remain in place.


“For GM management, it was very important to get out from under the ‘Government Motors’ moniker,” Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said.


(Additional reporting by Alister Bull in Washington, Jennifer Ablan in New York, Paul Lienert in Detroit and Rick Rothacker in Charlotte, North Carolina; Editing by Gerald E. McCormick, Jeffrey Benkoe, Tim Ahmann, Matthew Lewis and Jan Paschal)


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S&P raises Greece’s credit rating







Ratings agency Standard and Poor’s has raised the credit rating of Greece’s sovereign debt by six levels, praising the “strong determination” of fellow eurozone countries to help it stay as a member state.






S&P has increased Greece’s rating from “selective default” to “B-minus”.


The agency also praised the continuing efforts by Greece’s government to cut its spending.


Greece is currently receiving the second of two bailouts.


Last week, Greece started to receive the latest tranche of the bailout funds from the European Union and International Monetary Fund.


They agreed to release 49.1bn euros ($ 57bn; £37bn) after continuing austerity work by Greece, and a buyback of some of its debt.


A total of 240bn euros has been earmarked for Greece from the two bailout loans.


So far, Greece has received nearly 149bn euros (£119bn; $ 191bn) from the eurozone and the International Monetary Fund, out of that 240bn euros.


Continue reading the main story

This is a significant upgrade, which the Greek government will consider a vote of confidence, but it seems to be more of a vote of confidence in the euro in general. ”



End Quote



S&P said in its statement: “The upgrade reflects our view of the strong determination of European Economic and Monetary Union (eurozone) member states to preserve Greek membership in the eurozone.


“The outlook on the long-term rating is stable, balancing our view of the government’s commitment to a fiscal and structural adjustment against the economic and political challenges of doing so.”


Greece had to seek the bailouts to meet its debt repayments after years of overspending meant it could not keep up with its debt obligations.


The negative market opinion of Greece’s situation only worsened its position, as it pushed up the yield, or level of interest, that the the country had to offer on the sale of its new government bonds, in order to attract buyers.


The BBC’s economics editor Stephanie Flanders said of S&P’s announcement: “This is a significant upgrade, which the Greek government will consider a vote of confidence, but it seems to be more of a vote of confidence in the euro in general.


“Greece is not out of the woods economically, by any stretch of the imagination. But financial markets do now think a Greek exit from the euro is less likely.


“S&P is catching up with that market optimism with this upgrade. In theory, the fact that a large part of Greek sovereign debt has already been restructured also makes future defaults a bit less likely.”


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Hopes rise for “fiscal cliff” deal as Obama, Boehner meet






WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President Barack Obama and top Republican John Boehner met at the White House on Monday as hopes rose that Washington will be able to head off steep tax hikes and spending cuts that could push the economy into recession next year.


Aides from both parties said they were optimistic that a deal could be reached in the coming days to avert the “fiscal cliff,” as lawmakers set the stage for action before a year-end deadline.






“There’s been too much progress at this point and neither guy wants to go over the cliff,” a senior Republican aide said.


Although both sides still had major differences, investors were cheered by signs of progress. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index was up 0.72 percent in late afternoon.


“I think there’s a lot of expectation that a fiscal cliff deal of some sort does get done,” said Joseph Benanti, managing director of Rosenblatt Securities in New York.


Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid said his chamber will wrap up work on the issue after Christmas.


“It appears that we’re going to be coming back the day after Christmas to complete work on the fiscal cliff,” he said on the Senate floor.


Boehner, the speaker of the Republican-controlled House of Representatives, has edged closer to Obama’s demand to raise taxes on the wealthiest Americans. In return, Obama is considering a measure that would slow the rate of growth of Social Security retirement benefits by changing the way they are measured against inflation, according to a Senate Democratic aide.


GETTING CLOSER ON TAXES


In a step toward an agreement, Boehner has put forward a tax increase for those earning over $ 1 million annually, while Obama wants that threshold set at $ 250,000. Republicans could probably stomach a tax hike on incomes above $ 500,000, a Republican aide said.


The two sides face a deadline of December 31, when $ 600 billion in across-the-board spending cuts and tax hikes are due to begin kicking in, a jolt to the economy that could throw it back into recession.


Boehner’s latest proposal calls for $ 1 trillion in new tax revenue, which would come from raising rates and limiting deductions that the wealthiest can take. That is $ 400 billion less than the White House wants, but the gap between the two sides has narrowed by half in recent weeks.


Boehner could float the broad outlines of a deal with rank-and-file members on Tuesday. If there are no strong objections, he could try to finalize the deal on Wednesday, the Republican aide said.


A Democratic aide said that if a deal is reached by Saturday night, votes could be held in Congress next week.


Both sides declined to say what Boehner and Obama discussed at the meeting, which was also attended by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner.


The White House said Boehner’s latest proposal doesn’t meet its standards.


“Thus far the president’s proposal is the only proposal that we have seen that achieves the balance that is so necessary,” White House spokesman Jay Carney said at a news briefing.


Republicans understand that the clock is ticking and they are confident that Boehner will get a deal they can support in the coming days, a senior House Republican aide said.


Boehner “won’t sign off on a deal that doesn’t have enough votes to get through,” the aide said.


Republicans want substantial spending cuts in return for increased tax revenue, but any proposal to trim popular benefit programs like the Medicare health insurance plan for seniors will face fierce resistance from liberal Democrats, whose votes will be needed to get a deal passed.


Obama could also face strong opposition from Democrats if he agrees to Boehner’s proposal to slow the growth of Social Security benefits by changing the way the cost-of-living increases are measured against inflation, an approach that could save $ 200 billion over 10 years.


Obama also wants to head off another confrontation over the government’s debt limit, which will need to be raised in the coming months. Republicans insist that any increase in the government’s $ 16.4 trillion borrowing authority must be paired with an equal reduction in spending.


(Additional reporting by Thomas Ferraro, Mark Felsenthal and Jeff Mason in Washington and Gabriel Debenedetti and Angela Moon in New York; Writing by Andy Sullivan; Editing by Alistair Bell and Eric Beech)


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Abe’s challenge: Can he give Japan what money can’t buy






TOKYO (Reuters) – Even before Japanese voters returned Shinzo Abe‘s party to power, he had already won over financial markets with an economic revival plan as seductively simple as economists say it is risky: print money and spend it. Lots of it.


The Liberal Democratic Party’s landslide on Sunday is likely to sustain a market rally fuelled by economic stimulus hopes, but Abe’s economic legacy will probably be defined by how he tackles chronic ills that easy money alone cannot fix and that were largely ignored during the campaign.






The conservative leader set to return to the prime minister’s post he abruptly left in 2007 campaigned on a promise to double spending on public works and to push the Bank of Japan for radical action to end deflation and help exporters such as Toyota and Sony by taming the yen.


“The fact that Abe points to changes in the BOJ law or forex levels, or aggressive easing as solutions to Japan‘s problems is, if anything, worrying,” said Yuuki Sakurai, chief executive of Fukoku Capital Management which manages $ 19 billion in assets.


“They should be treated as tools to buy time to implement structural reforms, but we’re not hearing anything about deep reforms that the LDP wants to carry out.”


The so-called Abe trade – a 4 percent slide in the yen and more than a 10 percent rise in stock prices over the past month – shows that for now, most investors just want to see the new leader fulfill his pledges.


Analysts said they expected Sunday’s vote, which according to TV projections based on counted votes gave LDP and its ally a two-thirds lower house majority, to sustain that trend in the near-term.


“Abe’s economic policies will be implemented so the economy will improve next year. The problem is what happens after that,” said Koichi Haji, chief economist at NLI Research Institute in Tokyo. “The key is whether Abe can implement long-term structural reforms and growth strategies.”


The BOJ is poised to heed Abe’s calls for more aggressive easing and a more ambitious 2 percent inflation target, with markets expecting the central bank to ease policy for the fifth time this year on Thursday.


Investors also expect an extra budget of up to 10 trillion yen ($ 120 billion) as a down payment on Abe’s plan to spend such amounts per year over the next decade – double the current level – on public works long synonymous with the LDP.


Economists say pumping cash into the economy will only give it a temporary jolt if not followed by efforts to lift its growth potential and contain runaway debt.


In just three decades Japan has become the world’s oldest society, with those 65 or above making up nearly a quarter of a population that is greying and is estimated to have shrunk by over 260,000 in the last fiscal year alone.


Recipes to cope with it are well known: social security overhaul, including cuts in healthcare and pensions; boosting access to overseas markets and opening Japan to foreign goods, workers and investment; power sector revamp and bringing more women into the workforce.


All, however, carry political and social risks that Japan’s recent revolving-door leaders were unable or unwilling to take.


Left to sink or swim with swings in overseas demand for its exports and its currency, the world’s third-largest economy has been in and out of recession and dogged by low-grade deflation for the past two decades.


Now, in firm control of the lower house, Abe has a chance to prove his mettle and erase the memories of his first troubled year in office.


So far he has played it safe.


His “Abenomics” — a mix of potent monetary stimulus and big public spending — carries little political cost and he has been coy on touchy issues such the U.S.-led Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) free trade pact, or implementing sales tax increases.


With some luck, the new government may be even be able to call an end to a brief recession it entered last quarter.


Economists polled by Reuters last week predict the economy will start growing again in the first quarter of next year, largely due to expected recovery in China, Japan’s top export market.


TAX TEST


Abe’s first stern economic test will come after August, when the government, armed with second-quarter data, will decide whether the economy is strong enough to go ahead with a first round of planned sales tax increases.


With 10-year bond yields near a decade low below 0.7 percent, bond investors are now confident that he can steer the central bank to buy more bonds from the world’s most indebted government without setting off a market meltdown.


To keep that trust, Abe must convince investors that in his push for big scale-stimulus, he has not abandoned budget discipline. Economists say with Japan’s public debt at more than twice its economic output and climbing, the new government can ill-afford delaying a tax hike that has become a symbol of Tokyo’s fiscal rectitude. Their message is clear: “Just do it!”


“I hope they will go through with it,” said Takatoshi Ito, a Tokyo University professor, former adviser to the first Abe administration who is now mooted as a possible successor to BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa when his term ends in April.


“Tax revenue is less than half of expenditures. Bond issuance is bigger than tax revenues. It’s like using a credit card for more than half of your monthly expenditure. It’s crazy, abnormal, you can’t go on like that.”


(Additional reporting by Kaori Kaneko, Antoni Slodkowski and Leika Kihara; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan)


Economy News Headlines – Yahoo! News





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Economic slowdown throughout euro zone a worry for ECB: Liikanen






BERLIN (Reuters) – Economic growth is slowing to a worrying degree across the euro zone and not only in the periphery, European Central Bank Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen said in an interview to be published on Sunday in Germany’s Welt am Sonntag newspaper.


“There are a number of indications that the economy is getting weaker and not only in the indebted southern European countries, but across the euro zone,” Liikanen was quoted as saying in an excerpt released on Saturday.






“Economic developments are causing us concern,” he said, adding that no-one is immune to the effects of the debt crisis. “Not even the German economy.”


Liikanen did not say what action should be taken to deal with the slowdown, and a Reuters poll this week found economists are evenly split on what else – if anything – the ECB will do.


Thirty-nine economists said the ECB would hold its main refinancing rate at its current record low of 0.75 percent through the first quarter of next year, while 38 believed it would cut the rate to 0.5 percent.


The ECB on December 6 predicted the euro zone economy would shrink again in 2013. Its projections for economic performance ranged from a 0.9 percent drop to a meager 0.3 percent rise next year, suggesting contraction is far more likely than not.


It had previously penciled in a range of -0.4 percent to +1.4 percent for the euro area economy.


On Dec 7. the central banks of Germany and Austria forecast barely any economic growth in 2013, with the Bundesbank flagging risks of a recession in the euro zone’s biggest economy as the debt crisis hits the bloc’s core.


(Reporting By Erik Kirschbaum; Editing by Hugh Lawson)


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Best Buy extends deadline for founder bid






(Reuters) – Best Buy Co Inc agreed to extend the deadline to February 28 for founder Richard Schulze to make a bid for the company, continuing the uncertainty for shareholders over whether he can put a bid together.


Best Buy shares fell 14.2 percent to $ 12.12 on the New York Stock Exchange.






The company said on Friday the extension would allow Schulze to include the consumer electronics retailer’s full-year results as part of his due diligence review.


The new deadline will also give him more time to line up partners and financing for a bid. A source told Reuters on Thursday that Schulze didn’t have financing lined up in time for a December bid.


Schulze, who founded Best Buy in 1966, has said he would fund any deal through a combination of private equity and debt financing, as well as the reinvestment of some of his own equity in the company.


“Obviously with the extension, there is still some hesitation on the part of his private equity suitors about how much financing they would want to put up for this deal,” Morningstar analyst R J Hottovy said.


Under the extension, Schulze will be able to submit an offer any time during February, and the company will have 30 days to review and make a decision on the bid.


In August, Schulze made an informal proposal to acquire Best Buy for $ 24 to $ 26 per share, or a total of $ 8.16 billion to $ 8.84 billion. Including debt, it would be as much as $ 10.9 billion.


But Best Buy’s performance has continued to lag and its stock has slid since. Last month, the company reported a decline in same-store sales for the ninth time in the last 10 quarters.


Best Buy’s fortunes have faltered as consumers increasingly use its big box stores as showrooms for products they end up buying online at Amazon.com Inc and other websites.


To add to its troubles, the company forced out Schulze’s protégé, Brian Dunn, as chief executive earlier this year amid allegations he was having an inappropriate relationship with a female employee.


That scandal led to the ouster of Schulze from the board, and Best Buy hired turnaround expert Hubert Joly as CEO to come up with its own restructuring plan.


Schulze remains Best Buy’s largest shareholder with about one-fifth of the company’s outstanding shares.


If he can come in with a bid at about $ 16 or $ 17 a share when the market thinks the stock is only worth $ 12, it is in the interests of shareholders to extend the deadline, Hottovy said.


Others agreed.


“That’s really the best hope for investors, that Schulze takes it out because there’s been no other good news for the company,” said Rakesh Agrawal, principal analyst at San Francisco-based consulting firm reDesign Mobile.


Agrawal, who also advises hedge funds and money managers on the technology sector, said at this point the stock was trading entirely on whether a deal can get done or not.


A Best Buy spokesman said the extension will not affect the company’s day-to-day operations, especially during the all-important holiday season.


“We are determined to have a strong holiday season,” both in stores and online, spokesman Matt Furman said, adding that the company was moving “full speed ahead” with its turnaround plan.


(Writing by Brad Dorfman; Additional reporting by Olivia Oran in New York, and Siddharth Cavale in Bangalore; Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)


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